How high or low Amazon trades by Fri, Nov 6
The chance of each outcome for Amazon: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|
| Falls to $212 | |
| Falls to $216 | 2% |
| Falls to $220 | 5% |
| Falls to $224 | 5% |
| Falls to $228 | 7% |
| Falls to $232 | 8% |
| Falls to $236 | 16% |
| Hits $244 | 100% |
| Hits $252 | 82% |
| Hits $256 | 65% |
| Hits $260 | 42% |
| Hits $264 | 24% |
Amazon's last 20 reports
| Reported | EPS | Estimate | Result | Move after |
|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | 1.89 | 1.97 | Miss | -1.4% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 5.75 | 1.82 | Beat | 15.3% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 2.78 | 1.63 | Beat | 0.8% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1.95 | 1.97 | Miss | -5.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1.95 | 1.57 | Beat | 9.6% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 1.68 | 1.31 | Beat | -8.3% |
| May 1, 2025 | 1.59 | 1.37 | Beat | -0.1% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1.86 | 1.49 | Beat | -4.0% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1.43 | 1.14 | Beat | 6.2% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | 1.26 | 1.03 | Beat | -8.8% |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 0.98 | 0.83 | Beat | 2.3% |
| Feb 1, 2024 | 1.00 | 0.80 | Beat | 7.9% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 0.94 | 0.58 | Beat | 6.8% |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 0.65 | 0.35 | Beat | 8.3% |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 0.31 | 0.21 | Beat | -4.0% |
| Feb 2, 2023 | 0.25 | 0.18 | Beat | -8.4% |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 0.28 | 0.22 | Beat | -6.8% |
| Jul 28, 2022 | -0.20 | 0.15 | Miss | 10.4% |
| Apr 28, 2022 | -0.38 | 0.44 | Miss | -14.1% |
| Feb 3, 2022 | 1.39 | 0.19 | Beat | 13.5% |