How high or low Microsoft trades by Fri, Nov 6
The chance of each outcome for Microsoft: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|
| Falls to $472.50 | 4% |
| Falls to $480 | 6% |
| Falls to $487.50 | 8% |
| Falls to $495 | 16% |
| Falls to $502.50 | 31% |
| Falls to $510 | 52% |
| Falls to $517.50 | 81% |
| Hits $532.50 | 56% |
| Hits $540 | 33% |
| Hits $547.50 | 18% |
| Hits $555 | 9% |
| Hits $562.50 | 6% |
| Hits $570 | 4% |
Microsoft's last 20 reports
| Reported | EPS | Estimate | Result | Move after |
|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | 4.89 | 4.72 | Beat | -0.2% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 4.74 | 4.24 | Beat | 15.5% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 4.27 | 4.06 | Beat | -3.9% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 4.14 | 3.90 | Beat | -10.0% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 4.13 | 3.67 | Beat | -2.9% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 3.65 | 3.37 | Beat | 4.0% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 3.46 | 3.22 | Beat | 7.6% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3.23 | 3.15 | Beat | -6.2% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.10 | Beat | -6.0% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 2.95 | 2.93 | Beat | -1.1% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 2.94 | 2.82 | Beat | 1.8% |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2.93 | 2.78 | Beat | -2.7% |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2.99 | 2.65 | Beat | 3.1% |
| Jul 25, 2023 | 2.69 | 2.55 | Beat | -3.8% |
| Apr 25, 2023 | 2.45 | 2.23 | Beat | 7.2% |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2.32 | 2.29 | Beat | -0.6% |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2.35 | 2.30 | Beat | -7.7% |
| Jul 26, 2022 | 2.23 | 2.29 | Miss | 6.7% |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2.22 | 2.19 | Beat | 4.8% |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2.48 | 2.31 | Beat | 2.9% |