Nasdaq-100 at the close on Tue, Nov 10
The chance of each outcome for Nasdaq-100: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,900 or above | ||||
| 24,910 or above | ||||
| 24,920 or above | ||||
| 24,930 or above | ||||
| 24,940 or above | ||||
| 24,950 or above | ||||
| 24,960 or above | ||||
| 24,970 or above | ||||
| 24,980 or above | ||||
| 24,990 or above | ||||
| 25,000 or above | ||||
| 25,010 or above | ||||
| 25,020 or above | ||||
| 25,030 or above | ||||
| 25,040 or above | ||||
| 25,050 or above | ||||
| 25,060 or above | ||||
| 25,070 or above | ||||
| 25,080 or above | ||||
| 25,090 or above | ||||
| 25,100 or above | ||||
| 25,110 or above | ||||
| 25,120 or above | ||||
| 25,130 or above | ||||
| 25,140 or above | ||||
| 25,150 or above | ||||
| 25,160 or above | ||||
| 25,170 or above | ||||
| 25,180 or above | ||||
| 25,190 or above | ||||
| 25,200 or above | ||||
| 25,210 or above | ||||
| 25,220 or above | ||||
| 25,230 or above | ||||
| 25,240 or above | ||||
| 25,250 or above | ||||
| 25,260 or above | ||||
| 25,270 or above | ||||
| 25,280 or above | ||||
| 25,290 or above | ||||
| 25,300 or above | ||||
| 25,310 or above | ||||
| 25,320 or above | ||||
| 25,330 or above | ||||
| 25,340 or above | ||||
| 25,350 or above | ||||
| 25,360 or above | ||||
| 25,370 or above | ||||
| 25,380 or above | ||||
| 25,390 or above | ||||
| 25,400 or above | ||||
| 25,410 or above | ||||
| 25,420 or above | ||||
| 25,430 or above | ||||
| 25,440 or above | ||||
| 25,450 or above | ||||
| 25,460 or above | ||||
| 25,470 or above | ||||
| 25,480 or above | ||||
| 25,490 or above | ||||
| 25,500 or above | ||||
| 25,510 or above | ||||
| 25,520 or above | ||||
| 25,530 or above | ||||
| 25,540 or above | ||||
| 25,550 or above | ||||
| 25,560 or above | ||||
| 25,570 or above | ||||
| 25,580 or above | ||||
| 25,590 or above | ||||
| 25,600 or above | ||||
| 25,610 or above | ||||
| 25,620 or above | ||||
| 25,630 or above | ||||
| 25,640 or above | ||||
| 25,650 or above | ||||
| 25,660 or above | ||||
| 25,670 or above | ||||
| 25,680 or above | ||||
| 25,690 or above | ||||
| 25,700 or above | ||||
| 25,710 or above | ||||
| 25,720 or above | ||||
| 25,730 or above | ||||
| 25,740 or above | ||||
| 25,750 or above | ||||
| 25,760 or above | ||||
| 25,770 or above | ||||
| 25,780 or above | ||||
| 25,790 or above | ||||
| 25,800 or above | ||||
| 25,810 or above | ||||
| 25,820 or above | ||||
| 25,830 or above | ||||
| 25,840 or above | ||||
| 25,850 or above | ||||
| 25,860 or above | ||||
| 25,870 or above | ||||
| 25,880 or above | ||||
| 25,890 or above | ||||
| 25,900 or above | ||||
| 25,910 or above | ||||
| 25,920 or above | ||||
| 25,930 or above | ||||
| 25,940 or above | ||||
| 25,950 or above | ||||
| 25,960 or above | ||||
| 25,970 or above | ||||
| 25,980 or above | ||||
| 25,990 or above | ||||
| 26,000 or above | ||||
| 26,010 or above | ||||
| 26,020 or above | ||||
| 26,030 or above | ||||
| 26,040 or above | ||||
| 26,050 or above | ||||
| 26,060 or above | ||||
| 26,070 or above | ||||
| 26,080 or above | ||||
| 26,090 or above | ||||
| 26,100 or above | ||||
| 26,110 or above | ||||
| 26,120 or above | ||||
| 26,130 or above | ||||
| 26,140 or above | ||||
| 26,150 or above | ||||
| 26,160 or above | ||||
| 26,170 or above | ||||
| 26,180 or above | ||||
| 26,190 or above | ||||
| 26,200 or above | ||||
| 26,210 or above | ||||
| 26,220 or above | ||||
| 26,230 or above | ||||
| 26,240 or above | ||||
| 26,250 or above | ||||
| 26,260 or above | ||||
| 26,270 or above | ||||
| 26,280 or above | ||||
| 26,290 or above | ||||
| 26,300 or above | ||||
| 26,310 or above | ||||
| 26,320 or above | ||||
| 26,330 or above | ||||
| 26,340 or above | ||||
| 26,350 or above | ||||
| 26,360 or above | ||||
| 26,370 or above | ||||
| 26,380 or above | ||||
| 26,390 or above | ||||
| 26,400 or above | ||||
| 26,410 or above | ||||
| 26,420 or above | ||||
| 26,430 or above | ||||
| 26,440 or above | ||||
| 26,450 or above | ||||
| 26,460 or above | ||||
| 26,470 or above | ||||
| 26,480 or above | ||||
| 26,490 or above | ||||
| 26,500 or above | ||||
| 26,510 or above | ||||
| 26,520 or above | ||||
| 26,530 or above | ||||
| 26,540 or above | ||||
| 26,550 or above | ||||
| 26,560 or above | ||||
| 26,570 or above | ||||
| 26,580 or above | ||||
| 26,590 or above | ||||
| 26,600 or above | ||||
| 26,610 or above | ||||
| 26,620 or above | ||||
| 26,630 or above | ||||
| 26,640 or above | ||||
| 26,650 or above | ||||
| 26,660 or above | ||||
| 26,670 or above | ||||
| 26,680 or above | ||||
| 26,690 or above | ||||
| 26,700 or above | ||||
| 26,710 or above | ||||
| 26,720 or above | ||||
| 26,730 or above | ||||
| 26,740 or above | ||||
| 26,750 or above | ||||
| 26,760 or above | ||||
| 26,770 or above | ||||
| 26,780 or above | ||||
| 26,790 or above | ||||
| 26,800 or above | ||||
| 26,810 or above | ||||
| 26,820 or above | ||||
| 26,830 or above | ||||
| 26,840 or above | ||||
| 26,850 or above | ||||
| 26,860 or above | ||||
| 26,870 or above | ||||
| 26,880 or above | ||||
| 26,890 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 26,900 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 26,910 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 26,920 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,930 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,940 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,950 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,960 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,970 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,980 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 26,990 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,000 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,010 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,020 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,030 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,040 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,050 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,060 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,070 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,080 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,090 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,100 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,110 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,120 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,130 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,140 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,150 or above | 93% | 93% | ||
| 27,160 or above | 93% | 93% | ||
| 27,170 or above | 93% | 93% | ||
| 27,180 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,190 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,200 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,210 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,220 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,230 or above | 91% | 91% | ||
| 27,240 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,250 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,260 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,270 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,280 or above | 89% | 89% | ||
| 27,290 or above | 89% | 89% | ||
| 27,300 or above | ||||
| 27,310 or above | ||||
| 27,320 or above | ||||
| 27,330 or above | ||||
| 27,340 or above | ||||
| 27,350 or above | ||||
| 27,360 or above | ||||
| 27,370 or above | ||||
| 27,380 or above | ||||
| 27,390 or above | ||||
| 27,400 or above | ||||
| 27,410 or above | ||||
| 27,420 or above | ||||
| 27,430 or above | ||||
| 27,440 or above | ||||
| 27,450 or above | ||||
| 27,460 or above | ||||
| 27,470 or above | ||||
| 27,480 or above | ||||
| 27,490 or above | ||||
| 27,500 or above | ||||
| 27,510 or above | ||||
| 27,520 or above | ||||
| 27,530 or above | ||||
| 27,540 or above | ||||
| 27,550 or above | ||||
| 27,560 or above | ||||
| 27,570 or above | ||||
| 27,580 or above | ||||
| 27,590 or above | ||||
| 27,600 or above | ||||
| 27,610 or above | ||||
| 27,620 or above | ||||
| 27,630 or above | ||||
| 27,640 or above | ||||
| 27,650 or above | ||||
| 27,660 or above | ||||
| 27,670 or above | ||||
| 27,680 or above | ||||
| 27,690 or above | ||||
| 27,700 or above | ||||
| 27,710 or above | ||||
| 27,720 or above | ||||
| 27,730 or above | ||||
| 27,740 or above | ||||
| 27,750 or above | ||||
| 27,760 or above | ||||
| 27,770 or above | ||||
| 27,780 or above | ||||
| 27,790 or above | ||||
| 27,800 or above | ||||
| 27,810 or above | ||||
| 27,820 or above | ||||
| 27,830 or above | ||||
| 27,840 or above | ||||
| 27,850 or above | ||||
| 27,860 or above | ||||
| 27,870 or above | ||||
| 27,880 or above | ||||
| 27,890 or above | ||||
| 27,900 or above | ||||
| 27,910 or above | ||||
| 27,920 or above | ||||
| 27,930 or above | ||||
| 27,940 or above | ||||
| 27,950 or above | ||||
| 27,960 or above | ||||
| 27,970 or above | ||||
| 27,980 or above | ||||
| 27,990 or above | ||||
| 28,000 or above | ||||
| 28,010 or above | ||||
| 28,020 or above | ||||
| 28,030 or above | ||||
| 28,040 or above | ||||
| 28,050 or above | ||||
| 28,060 or above | ||||
| 28,070 or above | ||||
| 28,080 or above | ||||
| 28,090 or above | ||||
| 28,100 or above | ||||
| 28,110 or above | ||||
| 28,120 or above | ||||
| 28,130 or above | ||||
| 28,140 or above | ||||
| 28,150 or above | ||||
| 28,160 or above | ||||
| 28,170 or above | ||||
| 28,180 or above | ||||
| 28,190 or above | ||||
| 28,200 or above | ||||
| 28,210 or above | ||||
| 28,220 or above | ||||
| 28,230 or above | ||||
| 28,240 or above | ||||
| 28,250 or above | ||||
| 28,260 or above | ||||
| 28,270 or above | ||||
| 28,280 or above | ||||
| 28,290 or above | ||||
| 28,300 or above | ||||
| 28,310 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,320 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,330 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,340 or above | 9% | 9% | ||
| 28,350 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,360 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,370 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,380 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,390 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,400 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,410 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,420 or above | 5% | 5% | ||
| 28,430 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,440 or above | 5% | 5% | ||
| 28,450 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,460 or above | ||||
| 28,470 or above | ||||
| 28,480 or above | ||||
| 28,490 or above | ||||
| 28,500 or above | ||||
| 28,510 or above | ||||
| 28,520 or above | ||||
| 28,530 or above | ||||
| 28,540 or above | ||||
| 28,550 or above | ||||
| 28,560 or above | ||||
| 28,570 or above | ||||
| 28,580 or above | ||||
| 28,590 or above | ||||
| 28,600 or above | ||||
| 28,610 or above | ||||
| 28,620 or above | ||||
| 28,630 or above | ||||
| 28,640 or above | ||||
| 28,650 or above | ||||
| 28,660 or above | ||||
| 28,670 or above | ||||
| 28,680 or above | ||||
| 28,690 or above | ||||
| 28,700 or above | ||||
| 28,710 or above | ||||
| 28,720 or above | ||||
| 28,730 or above | ||||
| 28,740 or above | ||||
| 28,750 or above | ||||
| 28,760 or above | ||||
| 28,770 or above | ||||
| 28,780 or above | ||||
| 28,790 or above | ||||
| 28,800 or above | ||||
| 28,810 or above | ||||
| 28,820 or above | ||||
| 28,830 or above | ||||
| 28,840 or above | ||||
| 28,850 or above | ||||
| 28,860 or above | ||||
| 28,870 or above | ||||
| 28,880 or above | ||||
| 28,890 or above |