Nasdaq-100 at the close on Thu, Nov 12
The chance of each outcome for Nasdaq-100: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,700 or above | ||||
| 25,710 or above | ||||
| 25,720 or above | ||||
| 25,730 or above | ||||
| 25,740 or above | ||||
| 25,750 or above | ||||
| 25,760 or above | ||||
| 25,770 or above | ||||
| 25,780 or above | ||||
| 25,790 or above | ||||
| 25,800 or above | ||||
| 25,810 or above | ||||
| 25,820 or above | ||||
| 25,830 or above | ||||
| 25,840 or above | ||||
| 25,850 or above | ||||
| 25,860 or above | ||||
| 25,870 or above | ||||
| 25,880 or above | ||||
| 25,890 or above | ||||
| 25,900 or above | ||||
| 25,910 or above | ||||
| 25,920 or above | ||||
| 25,930 or above | ||||
| 25,940 or above | ||||
| 25,950 or above | ||||
| 25,960 or above | ||||
| 25,970 or above | ||||
| 25,980 or above | ||||
| 25,990 or above | ||||
| 26,000 or above | ||||
| 26,010 or above | ||||
| 26,020 or above | ||||
| 26,030 or above | ||||
| 26,040 or above | ||||
| 26,050 or above | ||||
| 26,060 or above | ||||
| 26,070 or above | ||||
| 26,080 or above | ||||
| 26,090 or above | ||||
| 26,100 or above | ||||
| 26,110 or above | ||||
| 26,120 or above | ||||
| 26,130 or above | ||||
| 26,140 or above | ||||
| 26,150 or above | ||||
| 26,160 or above | ||||
| 26,170 or above | ||||
| 26,180 or above | ||||
| 26,190 or above | ||||
| 26,200 or above | ||||
| 26,210 or above | ||||
| 26,220 or above | ||||
| 26,230 or above | ||||
| 26,240 or above | ||||
| 26,250 or above | ||||
| 26,260 or above | ||||
| 26,270 or above | ||||
| 26,280 or above | ||||
| 26,290 or above | ||||
| 26,300 or above | ||||
| 26,310 or above | ||||
| 26,320 or above | ||||
| 26,330 or above | ||||
| 26,340 or above | ||||
| 26,350 or above | ||||
| 26,360 or above | ||||
| 26,370 or above | ||||
| 26,380 or above | ||||
| 26,390 or above | ||||
| 26,400 or above | ||||
| 26,410 or above | ||||
| 26,420 or above | ||||
| 26,430 or above | ||||
| 26,440 or above | ||||
| 26,450 or above | ||||
| 26,460 or above | ||||
| 26,470 or above | ||||
| 26,480 or above | ||||
| 26,490 or above | ||||
| 26,500 or above | ||||
| 26,510 or above | ||||
| 26,520 or above | ||||
| 26,530 or above | ||||
| 26,540 or above | ||||
| 26,550 or above | ||||
| 26,560 or above | ||||
| 26,570 or above | ||||
| 26,580 or above | ||||
| 26,590 or above | ||||
| 26,600 or above | ||||
| 26,610 or above | ||||
| 26,620 or above | ||||
| 26,630 or above | ||||
| 26,640 or above | ||||
| 26,650 or above | ||||
| 26,660 or above | ||||
| 26,670 or above | ||||
| 26,680 or above | ||||
| 26,690 or above | ||||
| 26,700 or above | ||||
| 26,710 or above | ||||
| 26,720 or above | ||||
| 26,730 or above | ||||
| 26,740 or above | ||||
| 26,750 or above | ||||
| 26,760 or above | ||||
| 26,770 or above | ||||
| 26,780 or above | ||||
| 26,790 or above | ||||
| 26,800 or above | ||||
| 26,810 or above | ||||
| 26,820 or above | ||||
| 26,830 or above | ||||
| 26,840 or above | ||||
| 26,850 or above | ||||
| 26,860 or above | ||||
| 26,870 or above | ||||
| 26,880 or above | ||||
| 26,890 or above | ||||
| 26,900 or above | ||||
| 26,910 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,920 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,930 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,940 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,950 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,960 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,970 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,980 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 26,990 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,000 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,010 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,020 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,030 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,040 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,050 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,060 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,070 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,080 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,090 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,100 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,110 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,120 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,130 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,140 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,150 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,160 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,170 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,180 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,190 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,200 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,210 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,220 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,230 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,240 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,250 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,260 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,270 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,280 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,290 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,300 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,310 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,320 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,330 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,340 or above | 98% | 98% | ||
| 27,350 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 27,360 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 27,370 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 27,380 or above | 97% | 97% | ||
| 27,390 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,400 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,410 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,420 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,430 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,440 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,450 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,460 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,470 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,480 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,490 or above | 96% | 96% | ||
| 27,500 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,510 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,520 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,530 or above | 95% | 95% | ||
| 27,540 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,550 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,560 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,570 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,580 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,590 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,600 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,610 or above | 94% | 94% | ||
| 27,620 or above | 93% | 93% | ||
| 27,630 or above | 93% | 93% | ||
| 27,640 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,650 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,660 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,670 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,680 or above | 92% | 92% | ||
| 27,690 or above | 91% | 91% | ||
| 27,700 or above | 91% | 91% | ||
| 27,710 or above | 91% | 91% | ||
| 27,720 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,730 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,740 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,750 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,760 or above | 90% | 90% | ||
| 27,770 or above | 89% | 89% | ||
| 27,780 or above | 88% | 88% | ||
| 27,790 or above | 88% | 88% | ||
| 27,800 or above | 88% | 88% | ||
| 27,810 or above | 88% | 88% | ||
| 27,820 or above | 87% | 87% | ||
| 27,830 or above | 86% | 86% | ||
| 27,840 or above | 86% | 86% | ||
| 27,850 or above | 86% | 86% | ||
| 27,860 or above | 85% | 85% | ||
| 27,870 or above | 85% | 85% | ||
| 27,880 or above | 84% | 84% | ||
| 27,890 or above | 84% | 84% | ||
| 27,900 or above | 82% | 82% | ||
| 27,910 or above | 82% | 82% | ||
| 27,920 or above | 82% | 82% | ||
| 27,930 or above | 82% | 82% | ||
| 27,940 or above | 80% | 80% | ||
| 27,950 or above | 80% | 80% | ||
| 27,960 or above | 80% | 80% | ||
| 27,970 or above | 78% | 78% | ||
| 27,980 or above | 78% | 78% | ||
| 27,990 or above | 78% | 78% | ||
| 28,000 or above | 74% | 74% | ||
| 28,010 or above | 75% | 75% | ||
| 28,020 or above | 74% | 74% | ||
| 28,030 or above | 74% | 74% | ||
| 28,040 or above | 74% | 74% | ||
| 28,050 or above | 72% | 72% | ||
| 28,060 or above | 72% | 72% | ||
| 28,070 or above | 70% | 70% | ||
| 28,080 or above | 70% | 70% | ||
| 28,090 or above | 69% | 69% | ||
| 28,100 or above | 68% | 68% | ||
| 28,110 or above | 68% | 68% | ||
| 28,120 or above | 67% | 67% | ||
| 28,130 or above | 66% | 66% | ||
| 28,140 or above | 64% | 64% | ||
| 28,150 or above | 64% | 64% | ||
| 28,160 or above | ||||
| 28,170 or above | 62% | 62% | ||
| 28,180 or above | 61% | 61% | ||
| 28,190 or above | 60% | 60% | ||
| 28,200 or above | 58% | 58% | ||
| 28,210 or above | 57% | 57% | ||
| 28,220 or above | 56% | 56% | ||
| 28,230 or above | 56% | 56% | ||
| 28,240 or above | 55% | 55% | ||
| 28,250 or above | 54% | 54% | ||
| 28,260 or above | 52% | 52% | ||
| 28,270 or above | ||||
| 28,280 or above | 50% | 50% | ||
| 28,290 or above | ||||
| 28,300 or above | ||||
| 28,310 or above | ||||
| 28,320 or above | 45% | 45% | ||
| 28,330 or above | ||||
| 28,340 or above | ||||
| 28,350 or above | ||||
| 28,360 or above | ||||
| 28,370 or above | ||||
| 28,380 or above | ||||
| 28,390 or above | ||||
| 28,400 or above | ||||
| 28,410 or above | ||||
| 28,420 or above | ||||
| 28,430 or above | ||||
| 28,440 or above | ||||
| 28,450 or above | ||||
| 28,460 or above | ||||
| 28,470 or above | ||||
| 28,480 or above | ||||
| 28,490 or above | ||||
| 28,500 or above | ||||
| 28,510 or above | ||||
| 28,520 or above | ||||
| 28,530 or above | ||||
| 28,540 or above | ||||
| 28,550 or above | ||||
| 28,560 or above | ||||
| 28,570 or above | ||||
| 28,580 or above | 17% | 17% | ||
| 28,590 or above | 16% | 16% | ||
| 28,600 or above | 15% | 15% | ||
| 28,610 or above | 14% | 14% | ||
| 28,620 or above | 14% | 14% | ||
| 28,630 or above | 13% | 13% | ||
| 28,640 or above | 12% | 12% | ||
| 28,650 or above | 12% | 12% | ||
| 28,660 or above | 11% | 11% | ||
| 28,670 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,680 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,690 or above | 10% | 10% | ||
| 28,700 or above | 9% | 9% | ||
| 28,710 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,720 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,730 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,740 or above | 8% | 8% | ||
| 28,750 or above | 7% | 7% | ||
| 28,760 or above | 7% | 7% | ||
| 28,770 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,780 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,790 or above | 6% | 6% | ||
| 28,800 or above | 5% | 5% | ||
| 28,810 or above | 5% | 5% | ||
| 28,820 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,830 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,840 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,850 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,860 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,870 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,880 or above | 4% | 4% | ||
| 28,890 or above | 3% | 3% | ||
| 28,900 or above | 3% | 3% | ||
| 28,910 or above | 3% | 3% | ||
| 28,920 or above | 3% | 3% | ||
| 28,930 or above | 2% | 2% | ||
| 28,940 or above | 2% | 2% | ||
| 28,950 or above | 2% | 2% | ||
| 28,960 or above | ||||
| 28,970 or above | ||||
| 28,980 or above | ||||
| 28,990 or above | ||||
| 29,000 or above | ||||
| 29,010 or above | ||||
| 29,020 or above | ||||
| 29,030 or above | ||||
| 29,040 or above | ||||
| 29,050 or above | ||||
| 29,060 or above | ||||
| 29,070 or above | ||||
| 29,080 or above | ||||
| 29,090 or above | ||||
| 29,100 or above | ||||
| 29,110 or above | ||||
| 29,120 or above | ||||
| 29,130 or above | ||||
| 29,140 or above | ||||
| 29,150 or above | ||||
| 29,160 or above | ||||
| 29,170 or above | ||||
| 29,180 or above | ||||
| 29,190 or above | ||||
| 29,200 or above | ||||
| 29,210 or above | ||||
| 29,220 or above | ||||
| 29,230 or above | ||||
| 29,240 or above | ||||
| 29,250 or above | ||||
| 29,260 or above | ||||
| 29,270 or above | ||||
| 29,280 or above | ||||
| 29,290 or above | ||||
| 29,300 or above | ||||
| 29,310 or above | ||||
| 29,320 or above | ||||
| 29,330 or above | ||||
| 29,340 or above | ||||
| 29,350 or above | ||||
| 29,360 or above | ||||
| 29,370 or above | ||||
| 29,380 or above | ||||
| 29,390 or above | ||||
| 29,400 or above | ||||
| 29,410 or above | ||||
| 29,420 or above | ||||
| 29,430 or above | ||||
| 29,440 or above | ||||
| 29,450 or above | ||||
| 29,460 or above | ||||
| 29,470 or above | ||||
| 29,480 or above | ||||
| 29,490 or above | ||||
| 29,500 or above | ||||
| 29,510 or above | ||||
| 29,520 or above | ||||
| 29,530 or above | ||||
| 29,540 or above | ||||
| 29,550 or above | ||||
| 29,560 or above | ||||
| 29,570 or above | ||||
| 29,580 or above | ||||
| 29,590 or above | ||||
| 29,600 or above | ||||
| 29,610 or above | ||||
| 29,620 or above | ||||
| 29,630 or above | ||||
| 29,640 or above | ||||
| 29,650 or above | ||||
| 29,660 or above | ||||
| 29,670 or above | ||||
| 29,680 or above | ||||
| 29,690 or above |