How high or low Netflix trades by Fri, Nov 6
The chance of each outcome for Netflix: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|
| Falls to $45 | 0% |
| Falls to $47.50 | 1% |
| Falls to $50 | |
| Falls to $52.50 | 2% |
| Falls to $55 | 4% |
| Falls to $57.50 | 7% |
| Falls to $60 | 37% |
| Hits $62.50 | 98% |
| Hits $65 | 28% |
| Hits $67.50 | 6% |
| Hits $70 | 4% |
| Hits $72.50 | |
| Hits $75 | |
| Hits $77.50 | 1% |
Netflix's last 20 reports
| Reported | EPS | Estimate | Result | Move after |
|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | 0.87 | 0.82 | Beat | -5.3% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.79 | Beat | -7.3% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 1.23 | 0.76 | Beat | -9.7% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 0.56 | 0.55 | Beat | -2.2% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 0.59 | 0.70 | Miss | -10.1% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 0.72 | 0.71 | Beat | -5.1% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 0.66 | 0.57 | Beat | 1.5% |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 0.43 | 0.42 | Beat | 9.7% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 0.54 | 0.51 | Beat | 11.1% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | 0.49 | 0.47 | Beat | -0.7% |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 0.53 | 0.45 | Beat | -9.1% |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 0.21 | 0.22 | Miss | 10.7% |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3.73 | 3.49 | Beat | -2.7% |
| Jul 18, 2023 | 0.33 | 0.28 | Beat | 0.6% |
| Apr 18, 2023 | 0.29 | 2.86 | Miss | -3.2% |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 0.12 | 0.05 | Beat | 8.5% |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 0.31 | 0.21 | Beat | 13.1% |
| Jul 19, 2022 | 0.32 | 0.29 | Beat | 7.3% |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 0.35 | 0.29 | Beat | -35.1% |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 0.13 | 0.08 | Beat | -21.8% |