S&P 500 at the close on Mon, Nov 2
The data puts the chance of 7,590 or above at 85%
Every outcome
| Outcome | People | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,450 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,455 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,460 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,465 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,470 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,475 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,480 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,485 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,490 or above | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| 7,495 or above | 100% | 99% | 100% | |
| 7,500 or above | 98% | 100% | 99% | 100% |
| 7,505 or above | 95% | 100% | 99% | 100% |
| 7,510 or above | 93% | 100% | 99% | 100% |
| 7,515 or above | 89% | 100% | 99% | 99% |
| 7,520 or above | 99% | 100% | 99% | 99% |
| 7,525 or above | 94% | 100% | 98% | 99% |
| 7,530 or above | 95% | 100% | 98% | 99% |
| 7,535 or above | 87% | 100% | 98% | 99% |
| 7,540 or above | 71% | 100% | 97% | 99% |
| 7,545 or above | 90% | 100% | 97% | 98% |
| 7,550 or above | 99% | 99% | 96% | 98% |
| 7,555 or above | 98% | 99% | 95% | 97% |
| 7,560 or above | 98% | 99% | 94% | 97% |
| 7,565 or above | 97% | 98% | 93% | 96% |
| 7,570 or above | 96% | 97% | 92% | 94% |
| 7,575 or above | 96% | 96% | 90% | 93% |
| 7,580 or above | 94% | 95% | 88% | 92% |
| 7,585 or above | 91% | 93% | 86% | 89% |
| 7,590 or above | 90% | 89% | 84% | 86% |
| 7,595 or above | 86% | 85% | 81% | 83% |
| 7,600 or above | 81% | 81% | 77% | 79% |
| 7,605 or above | 76% | 76% | 73% | 75% |
| 7,610 or above | 70% | 68% | 68% | 68% |
| 7,615 or above | 62% | 60% | 63% | 61% |
| 7,620 or above | 52% | 52% | 56% | 54% |
| 7,625 or above | 44% | 44% | 48% | 46% |
| 7,630 or above | 35% | 36% | 42% | 39% |
| 7,635 or above | 28% | 29% | 36% | 33% |
| 7,640 or above | 20% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| 7,645 or above | 15% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| 7,650 or above | 12% | 10% | 21% | 16% |
| 7,655 or above | 8% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| 7,660 or above | 6% | 6% | 14% | 10% |
| 7,665 or above | 4% | 4% | 11% | 8% |
| 7,670 or above | 2% | 2% | 9% | 5% |
| 7,675 or above | 2% | 1% | 7% | 4% |
| 7,680 or above | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% |
| 7,685 or above | 11% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| 7,690 or above | 9% | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| 7,695 or above | 8% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| 7,700 or above | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,705 or above | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,710 or above | 0% | 1% | 0% | |
| 7,715 or above | 0% | 1% | 0% | |
| 7,720 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,725 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,730 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,735 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,740 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,745 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,750 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,755 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,760 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,765 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,770 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,775 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,780 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,785 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,790 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,795 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,800 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,805 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,810 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,815 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,820 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,825 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,830 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,835 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,840 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,845 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% |