S&P 500 at the close on Tue, Nov 3
Data puts the chance of 7,565 or above at 37%
Every outcome
| Outcome | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,425 or above | 94% | 97% | 95% |
| 7,430 or above | 93% | 96% | 95% |
| 7,435 or above | 92% | 96% | 94% |
| 7,440 or above | 91% | 95% | 93% |
| 7,445 or above | 90% | 95% | 92% |
| 7,450 or above | 89% | 94% | 91% |
| 7,455 or above | 88% | 93% | 91% |
| 7,460 or above | 87% | 92% | 90% |
| 7,465 or above | 85% | 92% | 89% |
| 7,470 or above | 84% | 90% | 87% |
| 7,475 or above | 82% | 89% | 86% |
| 7,480 or above | 81% | 88% | 84% |
| 7,485 or above | 79% | 86% | 83% |
| 7,490 or above | 77% | 85% | 81% |
| 7,495 or above | 75% | 84% | 79% |
| 7,500 or above | 73% | 82% | 77% |
| 7,505 or above | 70% | 79% | 75% |
| 7,510 or above | 68% | 77% | 73% |
| 7,515 or above | 65% | 75% | 70% |
| 7,520 or above | 63% | 72% | 67% |
| 7,525 or above | 60% | 69% | 64% |
| 7,530 or above | 57% | 65% | 61% |
| 7,535 or above | 55% | 61% | 58% |
| 7,540 or above | 53% | 57% | 55% |
| 7,545 or above | 50% | 52% | 51% |
| 7,550 or above | 48% | 47% | 47% |
| 7,555 or above | 45% | 43% | 44% |
| 7,560 or above | 42% | 39% | 41% |
| 7,565 or above | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| 7,570 or above | 38% | 32% | 35% |
| 7,575 or above | 36% | 28% | 32% |
| 7,580 or above | 34% | 25% | 30% |
| 7,585 or above | 32% | 22% | 27% |
| 7,590 or above | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| 7,595 or above | 28% | 17% | 23% |
| 7,600 or above | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| 7,605 or above | 23% | 13% | 18% |
| 7,610 or above | 21% | 11% | 16% |
| 7,615 or above | 19% | 10% | 14% |
| 7,620 or above | 16% | 8% | 12% |
| 7,625 or above | 14% | 7% | 11% |
| 7,630 or above | 12% | 6% | 9% |
| 7,635 or above | 10% | 5% | 8% |
| 7,640 or above | 9% | 4% | 6% |
| 7,645 or above | 8% | 3% | 6% |
| 7,650 or above | 6% | 3% | 5% |
| 7,655 or above | 5% | 2% | 4% |
| 7,660 or above | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| 7,665 or above | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| 7,670 or above | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 7,675 or above | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 7,680 or above | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,685 or above | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,690 or above | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,695 or above | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 7,700 or above | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 7,705 or above | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 7,710 or above | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,715 or above | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,720 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% |