S&P 500 at the close on Wed, Nov 4
The data puts the chance of 7,600 or above at 38%
Every outcome
| Outcome | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,375 or above | 96% | 99% | 98% |
| 7,380 or above | 96% | 99% | 97% |
| 7,385 or above | 95% | 99% | 97% |
| 7,390 or above | 94% | 99% | 97% |
| 7,395 or above | 94% | 99% | 97% |
| 7,400 or above | 93% | 99% | 96% |
| 7,405 or above | 93% | 99% | 96% |
| 7,410 or above | 92% | 99% | 96% |
| 7,415 or above | 92% | 99% | 95% |
| 7,420 or above | 91% | 98% | 95% |
| 7,425 or above | 90% | 98% | 94% |
| 7,430 or above | 89% | 98% | 94% |
| 7,435 or above | 88% | 98% | 93% |
| 7,440 or above | 87% | 98% | 92% |
| 7,445 or above | 86% | 97% | 92% |
| 7,450 or above | 85% | 97% | 91% |
| 7,455 or above | 84% | 97% | 90% |
| 7,460 or above | 83% | 96% | 89% |
| 7,465 or above | 82% | 96% | 89% |
| 7,470 or above | 80% | 95% | 88% |
| 7,475 or above | 79% | 94% | 87% |
| 7,480 or above | 77% | 94% | 85% |
| 7,485 or above | 76% | 93% | 84% |
| 7,490 or above | 75% | 92% | 83% |
| 7,495 or above | 73% | 91% | 82% |
| 7,500 or above | 72% | 90% | 81% |
| 7,505 or above | 70% | 89% | 79% |
| 7,510 or above | 69% | 87% | 78% |
| 7,515 or above | 69% | 86% | 78% |
| 7,520 or above | 69% | 84% | 77% |
| 7,525 or above | 69% | 83% | 76% |
| 7,530 or above | 69% | 80% | 75% |
| 7,535 or above | 69% | 78% | 74% |
| 7,540 or above | 69% | 76% | 73% |
| 7,545 or above | 69% | 73% | 71% |
| 7,550 or above | 69% | 70% | 70% |
| 7,555 or above | 69% | 66% | 68% |
| 7,560 or above | 68% | 62% | 65% |
| 7,565 or above | 67% | 58% | 63% |
| 7,570 or above | 66% | 53% | 60% |
| 7,575 or above | 65% | 48% | 57% |
| 7,580 or above | 62% | 44% | 53% |
| 7,585 or above | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| 7,590 or above | 57% | 36% | 47% |
| 7,595 or above | 55% | 33% | 44% |
| 7,600 or above | 49% | 29% | 39% |
| 7,605 or above | 43% | 26% | 35% |
| 7,610 or above | 38% | 23% | 30% |
| 7,615 or above | 32% | 20% | 26% |
| 7,620 or above | 28% | 18% | 23% |
| 7,625 or above | 26% | 15% | 21% |
| 7,630 or above | 24% | 14% | 19% |
| 7,635 or above | 23% | 12% | 17% |
| 7,640 or above | 21% | 10% | 15% |
| 7,645 or above | 19% | 8% | 14% |
| 7,650 or above | 18% | 7% | 12% |
| 7,655 or above | 16% | 6% | 11% |
| 7,660 or above | 14% | 5% | 10% |
| 7,665 or above | 13% | 4% | 8% |
| 7,670 or above | 12% | 3% | 7% |