S&P 500's range at the close on Thu, Nov 5
The data puts the chance at 21%
Every outcome
| Outcome | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 7,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,200 to 7,225 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,225 to 7,250 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,250 to 7,275 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,275 to 7,300 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,300 to 7,325 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,325 to 7,350 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,350 to 7,375 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,375 to 7,400 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,400 to 7,425 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,425 to 7,450 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,450 to 7,475 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,475 to 7,500 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,500 to 7,525 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7,525 to 7,550 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,550 to 7,575 | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 7,575 to 7,600 | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| 7,600 to 7,625 | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| 7,625 to 7,650 | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| 7,650 to 7,675 | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| 7,675 to 7,700 | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 7,700 to 7,725 | 14% | 17% | 16% |
| 7,725 to 7,750 | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| 7,750 to 7,775 | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| 7,775 to 7,800 | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| 7,800 to 7,825 | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 7,825 to 7,850 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7,850 to 7,875 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,875 to 7,900 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7,900 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% |