S&P 500's range at the close on Fri, Nov 6
The data puts an 8% chance on this closing range.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People | Wall Street | History | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 7,350 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 5% |
| 7,350 to 7,375 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,375 to 7,400 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,400 to 7,425 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| 7,425 to 7,450 | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 7,450 to 7,475 | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 7,475 to 7,500 | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 7,500 to 7,525 | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| 7,525 to 7,550 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 7,550 to 7,575 | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 7,575 to 7,600 | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| 7,600 to 7,625 | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% |
| 7,625 to 7,650 | 8% | 2% | 10% | 6% |
| 7,650 to 7,675 | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| 7,675 to 7,700 | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| 7,700 to 7,725 | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% |
| 7,725 to 7,750 | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| 7,750 to 7,775 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| 7,775 to 7,800 | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
| 7,800 to 7,825 | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 7,825 to 7,850 | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 7,850 to 7,875 | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 7,875 to 7,900 | 1% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,900 to 7,925 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,925 to 7,950 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,950 to 7,975 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7,975 to 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8,000 to 8,025 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8,025 to 8,050 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8,050 or above | 0% | 0% | 0% |