SPY at the close on Mon, Nov 2
The chance of each outcome for SPY: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|---|
| $735 or above | 97% |
| $740 or above | 89% |
| $745 or above | 99% |
| $750 or above | 99% |
| $755 or above | 94% |
| $760 or above | 50% |
| $765 or above | 4% |
| $770 or above | 4% |
| $775 or above | |
| $780 or above | 1% |
| $785 or above | 2% |