SPY at the close on Thu, Nov 12
The chance of each outcome for SPY: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|---|
| $730 or above | |
| $735 or above | 98% |
| $740 or above | |
| $745 or above | 94% |
| $750 or above | 84% |
| $755 or above | 57% |
| $760 or above | 27% |
| $765 or above | 6% |
| $770 or above | 2% |
| $775 or above | 2% |
| $780 or above |