SPY at the close on Mon, Nov 16
The chance of each outcome for SPY: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|---|
| $735 or above | 96% |
| $740 or above | 88% |
| $745 or above | 71% |
| $750 or above | 47% |
| $755 or above | 28% |
| $760 or above | 14% |
| $765 or above | 6% |
| $770 or above | 5% |
| $775 or above | |
| $780 or above | |
| $785 or above |