How high or low SPY trades by Fri, Nov 6
The chance of each outcome for SPY: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|---|
| Falls to $725 | |
| Falls to $730 | 9% |
| Falls to $735 | 12% |
| Falls to $740 | 22% |
| Falls to $745 | 32% |
| Falls to $750 | 52% |
| Falls to $755 | 74% |
| Hits $765 | 70% |
| Hits $770 | 48% |
| Hits $775 | |
| Hits $780 | 12% |
| Hits $785 | 7% |
| Hits $790 | 6% |