How high or low SPY trades by Fri, Nov 13
The chance of each outcome for SPY: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|---|
| Falls to $705 | 4% |
| Falls to $710 | 4% |
| Falls to $715 | 6% |
| Falls to $720 | 8% |
| Falls to $725 | 12% |
| Falls to $730 | 18% |
| Falls to $735 | 26% |
| Falls to $740 | |
| Falls to $745 | |
| Falls to $750 | |
| Hits $755 | 86% |
| Hits $760 | 58% |
| Hits $765 | 32% |
| Hits $770 | 17% |
| Hits $775 | |
| Hits $780 |