How high or low Tesla trades by Fri, Nov 6
The chance of each outcome for Tesla: what people think, and what the options market and history say.
Every outcome
| Outcome | People |
|---|
| Falls to $352.50 | 5% |
| Falls to $360 | 9% |
| Falls to $367.50 | 8% |
| Falls to $375 | 12% |
| Falls to $382.50 | 20% |
| Falls to $390 | 34% |
| Falls to $397.50 | 52% |
| Hits $412.50 | 94% |
| Hits $420 | 73% |
| Hits $427.50 | 50% |
| Hits $435 | 34% |
| Hits $442.50 | 20% |
| Hits $450 | 12% |
Tesla's last 20 reports
| Reported | EPS | Estimate | Result | Move after |
|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | 0.48 | 0.46 | Beat | -3.1% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 0.33 | 0.53 | Miss | -14.5% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 0.41 | 0.35 | Beat | -3.6% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.45 | Beat | -3.5% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.56 | Miss | 2.3% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | Beat | -8.2% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | 0.27 | 0.41 | Miss | 5.4% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 0.73 | 0.77 | Miss | 2.9% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 0.72 | 0.58 | Beat | 21.9% |
| Jul 23, 2024 | 0.52 | 0.62 | Miss | -12.3% |
| Apr 23, 2024 | 0.45 | 0.51 | Miss | 12.1% |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 0.71 | 0.75 | Miss | -12.1% |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 0.66 | 0.72 | Miss | -9.3% |
| Jul 19, 2023 | 0.91 | 0.82 | Beat | -9.7% |
| Apr 19, 2023 | 0.85 | 0.85 | Beat | -9.8% |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1.19 | 1.13 | Beat | 11.0% |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1.05 | 0.99 | Beat | -6.7% |
| Jul 20, 2022 | 0.76 | 0.60 | Beat | 9.8% |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1.07 | 0.75 | Beat | 3.2% |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 0.85 | 0.79 | Beat | -11.6% |